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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Game 5 Preview
2010-10-12
Sportsbook.com Betting Odds: Tampa Bay -113, Texas +103 Total: 6.5
You couldn’t ask for a better pitching match-up for tonight’s ALDS elimination game as the Texas Rangers visit the Tampa Bay Rays. The loser goes home while the winner advance to take on the New York Yankees.
It’s a rematch of Game 1 starters with Cliff Lee (13-9, 3.12 ERA including postseason) going up against David Price (19-7, 2.81 ERA including postseason). The baseball betting public thinks Tampa Bay will advance as 79% of the money is backing the Rays.
Lee was brilliant in Game 1, working around a first-inning, bases-loaded jam to throw seven innings of one-run, five-hit ball while striking out 10. The only blemish was a seventh-inning solo home run by Ben Zobrist. The performance was no surprise given Lee’s career postseason numbers – 5-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in six career starts. He’s had success against the Rays over the years too, going 7-5 with a 2.56 ERA and a WHIP of just under 1.00 in 14 career starts against Tampa Bay.
David Price hopes to deliver a Game 5 win after a shaky outing in the series opener. The young left-hander was touched for five runs (four earned) on nine hits over 6.2 innings. He surrendered two home runs and struck out eight. It was another poor start against Texas, a glaring trend that the Rays hope to turn around on Tuesday. In five lifetime starts against the Rangers (including postseason), Price is 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. However, he should enjoy the return trip home. Price was dominant inside the Trop this year, going 9-2 with a 1.96 ERA and .206 opponents’ batting average in the regular season.
The Rays were against the ropes down 2-0 in the series, but these betting trends discovered at Sportsbook.com think Tampa Bay will pull off the comeback and win its third straight game:
Play On - Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings. (133-67 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.5%, +72 units. Rating = 4*).
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games. (39-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.9%, +23.4 units. Rating = 3*).
With the most generous dime lines in the business make Sportsbook.com the place for all of your MLB betting.
AL All Stars: MLB All Star Game 20102010-07-07The American League’s dominance of the All-Star game is startling. Undefeated since 1996, the casual observer might assume they were playing against a college team, not the National League’s best players. Ever since Bud Selig made World Series home-field advantage contingent on the All-Star game’s result, it has aided the AL in the World Series as well. Simply put, the impact of home-field can’t be underestimated. As the 2010 edition approaches and lineups are announced July 4, here’s the starting lineup that, regardless of whether or not they’ll be voted in, gives the AL the best chance of continuing their dominance in The Midsummer Classic.
Starting Pitcher: Cliff Lee, Mariners- Due to the sheer number of pitchers, this is always a difficult spot to select. This year is no different, as many players are having great years, making it hard for players to separate themselves. The slightest of nods goes to Lee because of his dominance of late, pitching three straight complete games. He’s also a sentimental favorite after recovering from an injury that kept him out for the first month of the season; if not for that setback, his total of seven wins could be far higher. Perhaps the biggest question surrounding Lee is if he’ll even be in the American League by the time of the All-Star game; he’s a prime candidate for a trade, and the Mets and Dodgers of the NL have been discussed as possible destinations.
If not Lee, David Price, the league ERA leader, would be an excellent selection. He has quickly gone from an uncertain talent to the undisputed ace of the Rays. This honor would be the culmination of his ascendance.
Catcher: Joe Mauer, Twins- As long as Mauer stays healthy and continues to play near his potential, this position shouldn’t be in much doubt in the years to come. He has established himself as one of the game’s best players and the only thing lagging so far this season is his number of home runs. After suffering a nagging injury at the beginning of the season, his power production should dramatically increase in the second half of the season.
First Base: Miguel Cabrera, Tigers- This may be the hardest selection of any position in the league; either Cabrera or Justin Morneau would be a very worthy selection. Although his batting average is slightly lower than that of the former AL MVP, Cabrera gets the nod because his 20 home runs and 68 RBI compare favorably to the 16 and 52 for Morneau.
Second Base: Robinson Cano, Yankees- An MVP candidate on the best team in baseball, Cano is having an absolute breakout year. His .353 average leads the league and no other second basemen is close to his power totals of 16 home runs and 54 RBI.
Third Base: Adrian Beltre, Red Sox- Beltre has enjoyed a resurgence this year after leaving Seattle. With a .346 average to go along with 12 home runs, 53 RBI, and always a steady glove, Beltre gets the nod over Evan Longoria.
Shortstop: Derek Jeter, Yankees- In a great contrast to the American League’s abundance of talent at shortstop in years past, there is not a single AL shortstop hitting .300 this year. Although he’s underachieved thus far at the plate, Jeter is the choice due to superb defense (second highest fielding percentage of any shortstop in the league) and continued leadership on the best team in the majors. Also, although his offensive numbers are a disappointment for him, he still ranks in the top three for his position in every important category.
Outfield: Josh Hamilton, Rangers- After a sub-par, injury riddled 2009 season, Hamilton is returning to the form expected of him with a staggering season thus far. A Triple Crown candidate, he is hitting .340 with 19 home runs and 58 RBI. This would be Hamilton’s first All-Star trip after his dazzling display in the Home Run Derby at Yankee Stadium in 2008.
Outfield: Brennan Boesch, Tigers- The fact that the unknown Boesch won’t actually be voted in is irrelevant here. In his first full season, the left-handed power hitter is batting an amazing .340 with 12 home runs and 46 RBI.
Outfield: Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners- Suzuki continues to do what he’s best at: getting lots of hits, leading the American League with 107 to go along with his .331 batting average. Suzuki has many other tools that don’t always show up in the box score, including incredible speed, great range in the outfield, and the most feared outfield arm in baseball.
Designated Hitter: Vladimir Guerrero, Rangers- Guerrero has thrived with his change of venue, in the process helping to make the Rangers the biggest surprise in baseball. After many wrote him off, he’s one of two Rangers with a legitimate chance at the Triple Crown. His league-leading 70 RBI accompany 18 home runs and a .336 average. Are you ready for some MLB betting? Get over to
www.sportsbook.com the home of MLB betting.
MLB: Monday Night Baseball Betting Outlook2010-05-24The Boston Red Sox have had their share of problems at Tropicana Field the last two years. The Tampa Bay Rays haven’t had too much trouble this season against Boston - or the rest of the powerful AL East. The surging Rays return home Monday night and look to improve to 5-0 in the season series against the Red Sox when the division rivals begin a three-game set. The game is set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN2, and Sportsbook.com lists Tampa as a -130 host favorite.
Tampa Bay (32-12, +13.3 units) owns the best record in baseball, aided by a 14-4 mark against AL East opponents. That includes a four-game sweep at Fenway Park from April 16-19, when the Rays outscored the Red Sox 24-9 despite batting .204 and striking out 33 times. Helping Tampa Bay in that series, 16 of its 29 hits went for extra bases. Evan Longoria went 5 for 15 and scored five runs.
The Rays’ success isn’t surprising to the Red Sox, who are 4-14 at Tampa Bay in the regular season since the start of 2008.
“I think coming into this year - and I don’t need to speak for Joe Maddon or anyone on their team - but it looked like they expected to be good,” manager Terry Francona told the Red Sox’s official website. “We saw enough of them this spring where we were thinking they were gonna be good.”
Longoria has tormented Boston (24-21, -2.2), with a .309 batting average and 10 homers and 36 RBIs in 37 career games. The slugger hit .385 with five homers and 16 RBIs to help the Rays win six of nine at home from the Red Sox in 2009.
The Rays are looking for a fifth straight home win after completing a 4-1 road trip with Sunday’s 10-6 win at Houston. Ben Zobrist continues to rebound after hitting .241 in April, homered and had three hits to raise his average this month to .387 with 13 RBIs. “Zobrist doing what he does almost gives them an extra player,” Francona said. “He’s a switch-hitter who can play multiple positions.”
John Jaso and Hank Blalock also homered Sunday as Tampa Bay amassed 15 hits to rally from an early 4-0 deficit.
“You have to do all those different things in order to win as many games as we have,” Maddon said. “The offense definitely picked us up.” Tampa Bay comes into this three-game AL East series 7-1 against teams with winning records.
Boston has won five of six, including an 8-3 win over Roy Halladay in Philadelphia on Sunday, doing their usual damage in interleague play, taking record to 40-21 since 2007.
Kevin Youkilis homered and scored three runs. He’s 8 for 19 with three homers and six RBIs in his last six contests. “He’s a good hitter who doesn’t give at-bats away,” Francona said. “He’s been terrific.”
The Red Sox will start Clay Buchholz (5-3, 3.26 ERA, 1.429 WHIP), who’s posted a 1.88 ERA while winning his last two outings. He yielded two runs in eight innings Wednesday in a 3-2 home victory over Minnesota.
Buchholz gave up four unearned runs over five innings to fall 6-5 to the Rays on April 17, dropping to 2-2 with a 2.01 ERA in five starts against them. However, the Red Sox have won last seven roads starts by Buchholz and Longoria is 2 for 12 versus the right-hander.
Rookie Wade Davis (4-3, 3.35, 1.379) will counter for Tampa Bay after giving up two runs over 5 2/3 innings in Wednesday’s 10-6 road win over the New York Yankees - his first victory in three starts. The right-hander has had one good start and one poor outing against Boston, both at Fenway Park. He surrendered eight runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 9-1 loss Sept. 12, but allowed one run over five innings April 16 in a game the Rays won 3-1 in 12.
Sportsbook.com has listed the Rays as -130 money line betting choice for those that follow sports betting closely, with the total Ov9. Tampa Bay is 14-3 when the money line is -100 to -150 this season and is 8-0 UNDER recently at Tropicana Field. Boston is unseemly 8-23 in the role of underdog and is 5-0 OVER in previous Monday night assignments.
This encounter is on ESPN2 beginning at 7:00 Eastern and the Rays are12-1 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season.
StatFox Power Line – Tampa Bay -197
MLB: Twins and Tigers tangle for two2009-09-29The next three days could determine the AL Central champion, and the most pivotal hours will come Tuesday. After rain washed out the scheduled opener of a four-game series, the division-leading Detroit Tigers and second-place Minnesota Twins will play a day-night doubleheader at Comerica Park. Detroit is favored in both games, but with the way the Twins have been playing, one would have to think that a sweep by the Tigers is unlikely. Therefore, the underdog bettor should bring home at least a small profit. Get the latest prices on the LIVE ODDS page at Sportsbook.com.
Detroit (83-72, +0.6) had a comfortable seven-game cushion in the division on Sept. 6, but that lead has dwindled to two as the Tigers have dropped 11 of 19 while the Twins (81-74, -1.9) are 11-2 since Sept. 13. Detroit has been tied or alone atop the division since May 10. No team has ever lost the title in the last week of the season after leading for that long.
“I thought it would go down to the wire and obviously that’s going to be the case,” Tigers manager Jim Leyland said. “I hope my players have some butterflies, but there’s a difference between nervous and scared.”
Minnesota’s surge includes winning two of three home games against Detroit from Sept. 18-20. However, the scene has now shifted to Comerica Park, where the Tigers are 48-26 this season and 21-8 in home games in day games.
They’ll also start one of the AL’s top rookies and their All-Star ace in Tuesday’s doubleheader.
Rick Porcello (14-9, 4.14 ERA) is 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last six starts, boosting his chances to win AL Rookie of the Year. The 20-year-old right-hander is 1-2 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts against the Twins this season, and has lost his last two - both at the Metrodome - while receiving no runs from his teammates.
Porcello beat the Twins at home May 5, giving up four hits over seven innings of a 9-0 victory. The Tigers are 18-11 in his starts this season and they have won the last five at home.
Justin Verlander (17-9, 3.41) will try to give the Tigers another needed victory in the finale and match his career high for wins, set in 2007. He helped Detroit avoid a three-game skid Thursday, striking out 11 over seven innings of a 6-5 victory in Cleveland.
The Twins haven’t been easy to tame for the right-hander, who has a major league-leading 256 strikeouts. Minnesota has scored five runs in successive wins against Verlander over the last two months, including an 11-0 victory in Detroit on Aug. 8. The Tigers ace is just 3-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Tigers Record)
The Twins will counter with Nick Blackburn (11-11, 4.18) and rookie Brian Duensing (5-1, 3.33), who has been excellent since moving into the rotation Aug. 22.
Blackburn has put a difficult stretch behind him, winning his last two starts by yielding two runs in 13 1/3 innings after going 1-7 with a 7.36 ERA in his previous 11 outings. The right-hander was masterful Monday night as he scattered eight hits and struck out six over seven innings of a 7-0 win in Chicago. Blackburn is 2-2 with a 3.66 ERA in five career starts against Detroit, but both losses have come at Comerica Park. He’s 0-3 with an 8.00 ERA in four career appearances there and he and his teammates are 0-12 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.
“This is what we all play for. It’s a blast,” Blackburn said. “Being in a race like this makes it even more exciting. There’s more pressure, but it makes us enjoy the wins even more.”
Duensing is searching for his sixth consecutive victory as a starter and fourth in as many starts. The left-hander earned a victory at Chicago on Wednesday night, giving up four runs and nine hits over 5 2/3 innings. He won his only start against Detroit on Sept. 18, allowing four hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 3-0 home victory.
The Twins start the day 18-5 on Tuesday’s and are an underdog according to Sportsbook.com in both games. In the first contest Minnesota is +120 with total of nine and the nightcap could be adjusted by outcome of first game, but for now the Twinkies at +150 with total lowered to eight. The Twins are 19-10 vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs a game in the second half of the season.
Detroit has won last 23 of 33 home games against right-handed starters, which is the situation in Game 1 and the Tigers are 11-3 when Verlander is favorite in home park.
Both games are available for viewing in home markets and MLB.TV. The first AL Central battle starts at 12:05 Eastern with the nitecap at 7:05E. StatFox Power Line – Detroit -105 (Game 1), Minnesota -119 (Game 2)
MLB: Top Weekend Power Trends 7/17-7/192009-07-21After another typical all-star break, that meaning the American League won the showcase again, baseball gets back in swing with a full set of games this weekend. Most often, this is a critical time of the season for contenders, as with the trade deadline looming, how teams play over the next two weeks can determine whether or not they make a serious run at the postseason. Several key series’ this weekend could direct the fates of fringe teams such as Florida and Houston, who take on N.L. division leaders. Elsewhere, the junior circuit features two different series’ between playoff hopefuls. Read on as we preview all of that plus reveal some of the Top StatFox Power Trends for you to utilize in your weekend wagering.
The schedule was unkind to Florida, as it tries to make a run at division leading Philadelphia in the N.L. East. After Thursday’s 4-0 win in the series opener, the Phillies have now won 10 of 11 games to open up the division lead to 5-games. The Marlins meanwhile have cooled off after a surge in late June, and have been shutout in three of their last seven games. Philadelphia has won all four of its games in Miami this season, and boasts a league-best 27-15 record on the road in 2009 as well, good for +14.8 betting units. The Marlins need to make a stand this weekend, or face a rest of the season playing catchu-up.
Houston has made its usual mid-season charge to get back to within 3-games of St. Louis in the N.L. Central. Including the 3-0 win to start the current series in Los Angeles, the Astros are on a 27-16 surge since May 29th. Amazingly, the ‘stros’ pitching staff has held eight of their last 17 opponents to one run or less. They are also not scared of the Dodgers, having won six of the last eight meetings between the teams at Chavez Ravine. However, L.A. remains the best team in baseball, 23-games over .500, including 28-14 at home. Following this set, the Astros welcome the Cardinals into town for 3-games, so this next week of play could go a long ways towards determining whether or not to expect Houston in playoff contender conversations the rest of the way.
In the American League, a couple of teams seemingly stuck in neutral will go head-to-head in Arlington when the Rangers host Minnesota. Both clubs are still within striking distance in their respective divisions, but neither team is playing its best right now. In fact, Texas manager Ron Washington was recently quoted as saying “"Every part of our game needs improvement”. This will be the first time the teams meet this season, and Minnesota has taken 12 of the last 19 head-to-head meetings overall. Make note that the Twins are just 17-24 on the road in 2009, having gone under the total in 28 of 39 graded games.
Finally, in New York, the Yankees host Detroit in a matchup of present playoff position holders. The Yankees lead the wild card race but are 3-games back of Boston in the A.L. East. They lost their last three games before the break in Anaheim, but start a 9-game homestand here. The Tigers meanwhile, won four of five before the mid-season vacation and boast a cushy 3-1/2 game lead in the Central. Keep an eye on the totals in this series, as it figures to be a battle of will’s. Detroit has been a huge under team on the road, while it’s no secret that scoring has been a plenty at the new Yankee Stadium.
Another solid weekend of baseball wagering awaits. Be sure to put these Top StatFox Power Trends to the test as you battle the oddsmakers.
CHICAGO CUBS at WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 5-21 (-16.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.3, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 2*)
SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-30 (-19.1 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.9, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 1*)
MILWAUKEE at CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 19-7 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.4, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
PHILADELPHIA at FLORIDA
PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
NY METS at ATLANTA
NY METS are 36-21 OVER (+14.3 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY METS 5.1, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)
ARIZONA at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 14-2 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ST LOUIS 6.0, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 2*)
COLORADO at SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 21-11 OVER (+9.7 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was SAN DIEGO 4.2, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)
HOUSTON at LA DODGERS
HOUSTON is 16-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 3.8, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
SEATTLE at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 8-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 4.4, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
BOSTON at TORONTO
TORONTO is 32-17 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 4.8, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 0*)
DETROIT at NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 37-16 UNDER (+18.5 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 4.5, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*)
MINNESOTA at TEXAS
MINNESOTA is 11-32 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 4.1, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY at KANSAS CITY
TAMPA BAY is 8-16 (-14.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 4.0, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)
BALTIMORE at CHI WHITE SOX
BALTIMORE is 22-49 (-22.5 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BALTIMORE 4.7, OPPONENT 6.1 - (Rating = 1*)
LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 14-32 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was OAKLAND 3.9, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 2*)
MLB: Bettors shaking head over baseball matchup2009-05-19Come on now, be totally honest, the first you knew about Texas and Detroit being a tussle between division leaders was right now. Oh sure you might have known the Rangers were playing pretty good baseball and the Tigers were ahead of the curve, especially compared to last year, but both clubs in first place, nah you are just trying to act like you know everything about betting baseball. For tonight’s series opening contest, Texas is a road favorite and backed heavily by Sportsbook bettors thus far. Get the latest percentages on the BETTING TRENDS page.
The Rangers (23-14, +10.6 units) hit the road after sweeping division partners Seattle and Los Angeles of Anaheim in Arlington and motor into the DEtroit with seven-game winning streak. The fact that Texas is scoring 5.9 runs per game during the winning streak is not a surprise, but pitchers from T E X A S holding opposing team to 2.9 runs per game?! That’s usually about halfway thru any given contest, not nine innings by Rangers hurlers.
The following quote by Texas Marlon Byrd explains how screwed up the Rangers are being in first place.
"A first-place team, expectations are going to be up again. We're trying to gain some separation between ourselves and the teams in our division, so we have to go up there and keep doing what we've been doing, as far as pitching and defense." – Byrd said.
Texas players have words like pitching and defense in the vocabulary, what’s next; hitting is no longer the linchpin to Rangers success.
The Rangers are 13-3 this month and facts are facts, with Texas 10-2 after two straight games where they committed no errors this season. Manager Ron Washington’s club is nine games over .500 for the first time since June 1, 2005.
Detroit (20-16, +3.6) has participated in three consecutive sweeps, the first and last were positive and the one in the middle was not. The Tigers hitters mauled Oakland pitching over the weekend, touching home plate 34 times in banging out 40 base hits. Detroit is 11-5 at Comerica Park, including having won six of seven.
To this point, Dontrelle Willis’ (0-0, 7.71 ERA) contract extension is one of the worst in baseball history. The almost 10 million per year has Willis trailing Carl Pavano’s (when with the Yankees) deal, in which he averaged one win per year for his four year deal. The lefthander, since joining Detroit is 0-2 with a 9.10 ERA in nine appearances, having walked 37 while striking out 18. In his season debut Wednesday, he allowed four runs and walked two over 4 2/3 innings of a 14-10 loss at Minnesota.
“My mindset is just simplified, going out there and really just thinking about myself and not really caring about anybody else as far as what they think,” Willis told the Tigers’ official Web site.
The folks at Sportsbook.com aren’t buying Willis being back and have Texas as -127 money line favorites, with total of Ov11. The Rangers are 8-2 after allowing two or fewer runs in last game and will send Brandon McCarthy (3-1, 5.92) to the mound. McCarthy’s record appears a trifle fictitious, with is 1-1mark and 8.40 ERA on the road with opponents hitting .355 off him. Texas has lost six of his last seven starts as visitors.
At least McCarthy won’t have to face Magglio Ordonez, who is on bereavement list for first two games of series. Detroit has turned into notoriously slow starters with 9-25 Game 1 record and they are 1-5 as home underdogs of less than +150. The Tigers are 21-9 OVER at home in May games over the last three seasons.
Texas has already lost three times in MoTown this season and is working on eight games losing streak to the Tigers dating back to Sept. 2007. In this battle of division leaders, first pitch is set for 7:05 Eastern and will be available in local markets.
StatFox Power Line – Detroit -146
MLB: New York Mets in 80.2% MLB System2008-09-10The New York Mets have had been underachievers most of the 2008 season, being hammered on a regular basis on ESPN’s Baseball Tonight and many other media outlets. Baseball bettors backing the Blue and Orange were getting hit hard too, with wagering accounts looking like a dried up creek that had not seen rain in months. This all changed starting on August 7, with a simple 5-3 win over hapless San Diego at Shea Stadium. Today they are backed by an 80%-plus system as they look to take down Washington.
Since that Thursday, New York has won 22 of last 31 contests and is three games ahead of Philadelphia in the loss column with 18 ballgames to go. What changed for the Metropolitans?
The biggest change was the offense started to produce. New York after being in the middle of the pack in the National League most of the season in runs scored is now second behind the Cubs. The catalyst has been Carlos Delgado, who has to be given serious consideration for MVP. When New York was 42-44, Delgado was hitting .235 with 15 home runs and the ravenous New York media was saying he was washed up. The veteran first baseman never quit on himself or teammates and has driven in an astonishing 68 runs in last 66 games. Four times in the last 13 games Delgado has hit two or more home runs, raising total to 35 dingers and 103 RBI.
Thou not completely settled the bullpen has been better with the realization closer Billy Wagner is officially done for the year, meaning others have to step up and they have in recent weeks.
Last night the Mets touched home plate 10 times against Washington and needed just about every run in 10-8 slugfest. These types of games normally do not benefit the underdog in the next outing, as bullpen was probably used significantly and if called upon again, might produce similar results. Review this Super System:
PLAY AGAINST road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing nine runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more in last game.
This system has been a long time winner, dating back to 1997, with a 178-44, 80.2 percent record. Typically, these contests are not close either, with the favorite winning by 2.4 runs per game.
Sportsbook.com has New York as -240 money line favorites with total Ov8.5. The Mets based on the season, are catching a break in facing a left-handed starter for the fourth consecutive day in Odalis Perez (6-10, 4.19, 1.475 WHIP). Delgado and company are 30-17 vs. LH starters. New York counters with Mike Pelphrey (13-9, 3.62, 1.330), who has an ERA of 2.66 at Shea, with his teammates 10-6 when he pitches there.
One last salient point on tonight’s super system, the record in 2008 is 11-2.
